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UBS has revised its oil price forecasts for 2025-2027, lowering projections by $3 per barrel for 2025 and 2026 to $72, and by $2 for 2027 to $73, following OPEC+'s decision to increase production. The long-term forecast remains at $75 per barrel from 2028, anticipating a slowdown in non-OPEC+ supply growth. Analysts expect market volatility due to uncertainties, including weaker demand and potential supply disruptions from geopolitical factors.
UBS has revised its oil price forecasts for 2025-2027, lowering projections by $3 per barrel to $72 for 2025 and 2026, and by $2 to $73 for 2027, following OPEC+'s decision to increase production. The long-term outlook remains at $75 per barrel from 2028, with market volatility expected due to uncertainties in demand and potential supply disruptions. Analysts note that while OPEC+ adapts its output to market conditions, significant spare capacity may limit upward price risks.
UBS has downgraded Neste Oyj's stock rating from Buy to Neutral, slashing the price target from €15.00 to €10.00 amid a 63% decline in stock value over the past year and concerns over Renewable Products margins. Berenberg and TD Cowen also lowered their ratings and price targets, citing industry overcapacity and uncertainties affecting earnings. Despite these challenges, Neste maintains a long history of consistent dividend payments and analysts project a potential rebound in margins next year.
UBS has downgraded Neste Oyj from Buy to Neutral, slashing the price target from €15.00 to €10.00, citing a 63% stock decline over the past year and concerns over renewable product margins. Analysts predict a gross profit margin of just 9.95% for the current year, with expectations of improvement next year. Berenberg and TD Cowen have also lowered their ratings and price targets, highlighting industry overcapacity and margin pressures as significant challenges for Neste's financial outlook.
UBS has raised BP's stock price target to GBP5.25 from GBP5.00, maintaining a Buy rating, citing expectations of faster deleveraging. BP's stock has surged 25% since November, driven by anticipation of a strategic overhaul at the upcoming Capital Markets Day on February 26. The company plans to invest $20-$25 billion in redeveloping oil and gas fields in Iraq and has initiated gas flow at the Greater Tortue Ahmeyim project, while also announcing job cuts to enhance capital efficiency.
UBS has raised BP's stock price target to GBP5.25 from GBP5.00, maintaining a Buy rating, citing expectations of faster deleveraging. BP's stock has surged 25% since November, driven by anticipation of a strategic overhaul at the upcoming Capital Markets Day on February 26. Despite a shortfall in 2024 EBITDA targets, BP plans a $20-$25 billion investment in Kirkuk, Iraq, and has initiated gas flow at the Greater Tortue Ahmeyim project, expected to produce 2.3 million tonnes of LNG annually. The company is also cutting 7,700 jobs to enhance capital efficiency.
UBS has raised its price target for BP shares from GBP 5.00 to GBP 5.25, maintaining a Buy rating, citing expectations of faster deleveraging. BP's shares have surged 25% since November, driven by anticipation of a strategic realignment announcement on February 26, 2024. Despite a missed EBITDA target for 2024, BP plans significant investments in Iraq's energy sector and has initiated gas flow at the Greater Tortue Ahmeyim project, aiming to produce 2.3 million tons of LNG annually. The company is also restructuring, cutting 7,700 jobs to enhance capital efficiency.
UBS has maintained a 'Buy' rating for Totalenergies, setting a price target of 64 euros. Analyst Henri Patricot noted a significant improvement in the company's performance during the final quarter of 2024, following a series of unexpectedly weak results earlier in the year.
UBS has maintained its "Buy" rating for Totalenergies, setting a price target of 64 euros. Analyst Henri Patricot noted that recent declines in expectations for the energy group for 2025 may facilitate meeting annual targets during the upcoming balance sheet presentation.
UBS has maintained a 'Buy' rating for Totalenergies, setting a price target of 64 euros. Analyst Henri Patricot noted that lowered expectations for the energy group in 2025 could facilitate meeting annual targets during the upcoming balance sheet presentation.
Henri Patricot
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